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Resolved market scorecard

Norway vs. Senegal: result and scorecard

Resolved Norway. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 42.5%; a week before, 45.5%. $37.7M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:14 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Norway
resolved June 23, 2026

Price 1 day before

42.5%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

45.5%
30 days before: 48.5%

Volume

$37.7M
3 outcomes

SportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
NorwayWON$22.6M
Draw (Norway vs. Senegal)LOST$7.9M
SenegalLOST$7.2M

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-0705-1506-23
NorwayDraw (Norway vs. Senegal)Senegal
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 43% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, June 22, 2026 between Norway and Senegal.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Norway vs. Senegal" resolve?
It resolved Norway around June 23, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 42.5% one day before close, 45.5% one week before and 48.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$37.7M across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.