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Resolved market scorecard

Japan vs. Sweden: result and scorecard

Resolved Draw (Japan vs. Sweden). One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 27.0%; a week before, 27.5%. $39.7M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:15 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Draw (Japan vs. Sweden)
resolved June 26, 2026

Price 1 day before

27.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

27.5%
30 days before: 28.5%

Volume

$39.7M
3 outcomes

SportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Draw (Japan vs. Sweden)WON$3.5M
JapanLOST$29.4M
SwedenLOST$6.9M

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-0805-1706-26
Draw (Japan vs. Sweden)JapanSweden
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 27% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Thursday, June 25, 2026 between Japan and Sweden.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Japan vs. Sweden" resolve?
It resolved Draw (Japan vs. Sweden) around June 25, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 27.0% one day before close, 27.5% one week before and 28.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$39.7M across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.