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Resolved market scorecard

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: result and scorecard

Resolved Draw (IR Iran vs. New Zealand). One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 28.5%; a week before, 28.5%. $32.8M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:39 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Draw (IR Iran vs. New Zealand)
resolved June 16, 2026

Price 1 day before

28.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

28.5%
30 days before: 28.5%

Volume

$32.8M
3 outcomes

SportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Draw (IR Iran vs. New Zealand)WON$3.4M
IR IranLOST$26.1M
New ZealandLOST$3.2M

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-0805-1206-16
Draw (IR Iran vs. New Zealand)IR IranNew Zealand
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 28% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, June 15, 2026 between IR Iran and New Zealand.

Frequently asked questions

How did "IR Iran vs. New Zealand" resolve?
It resolved Draw (IR Iran vs. New Zealand) around June 16, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 28.5% one day before close, 28.5% one week before and 28.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$32.8M across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.