Resolved market scorecard
Germany vs. Paraguay: result and scorecard
Resolved Draw (Germany vs. Paraguay). One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 17.5%; a week before, –. $41.4M traded in total.
Result
Draw (Germany vs. Paraguay)
resolved June 29, 2026
Price 1 day before
17.5%
Market leaned the wrong way
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$41.4M
3 outcomes
SportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Draw (Germany vs. Paraguay) | WON |
| Germany | LOST |
| Paraguay | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Draw (Germany vs. Paraguay)GermanyParaguay
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 18% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, June 29, 2026 between Germany and Paraguay.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Germany vs. Paraguay" resolve?
- It resolved Draw (Germany vs. Paraguay) around June 29, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 17.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $41.4M across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.