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Resolved market scorecard

France vs. Senegal: result and scorecard

Resolved France. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 66.5%; a week before, 66.5%. $28.9M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:54 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

France
resolved June 16, 2026

Price 1 day before

66.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

66.5%
30 days before: 68.5%

Volume

$28.9M
3 outcomes

SportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
FranceWON$20.0M
SenegalLOST$6.2M
Draw (France vs. Senegal)LOST$2.8M

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-0705-1206-16
FranceSenegalDraw (France vs. Senegal)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 67% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, June 16, 2026 between France and Senegal.

Frequently asked questions

How did "France vs. Senegal" resolve?
It resolved France around June 16, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 66.5% one day before close, 66.5% one week before and 68.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$28.9M across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.