How did "France vs. Iraq - More Markets" resolve?

It resolved France (-2.5) · France around June 22, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 54.5% one day before close, 48.5% one week before and 48.5% one month before.

Home / Markets / France vs. Iraq - More Markets

Resolved market scorecard

France vs. Iraq - More Markets: result and scorecard

Name: France vs. Iraq - More Markets prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved France (-2.5) · France. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 54.5%; a week before, 48.5%. $29.2M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

France (-2.5) · France

resolved June 23, 2026

Price 1 day before

54.5%

Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

48.5%

30 days before: 48.5%

Volume

$29.2M

42 outcomes

Sports Games Soccer FIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
France (-2.5) · France	WON	$11.2M
O/U 3.5 · Under	WON	$3.6M
France (-3.5) · Iraq	WON	$2.5M
O/U 2.5 · Over	WON	$1.6M
O/U 4.5 · Under	WON	$1.3M
France (-1.5) · France	WON	$1.2M
1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$1.1M
France O/U 2.5 · Over	WON	$732K
France (-5.5) · Iraq	WON	$592K
France (-4.5) · Iraq	WON	$565K
O/U 1.5 · Over	WON	$523K
O/U 5.5 · Under	WON	$497K
France 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$366K
O/U 6.5 · Under	WON	$346K
Iraq O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$299K
1st Half O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$248K
O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$223K
France O/U 1.5 · Over	WON	$168K
O/U 8.5 · Under	WON	$158K
O/U 7.5 · Under	WON	$125K
Iraq O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$121K
Iraq O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$120K
France O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$86K
1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$74K
Iraq (-1.5) · France	WON	$64K
Iraq (-5.5) · France	WON	$42K
Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$30K
Iraq (-4.5) · France	WON	$26K
Iraq (-2.5) · France	WON	$25K
2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	WON	$20K
France 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$18K
France 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	WON	$5K
2nd Half O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$4K
Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$3K
Iraq (-3.5) · France	WON	$3K
2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$3K
Iraq 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$646
France 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$406
Iraq 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$348
France (-2.5) · Iraq	LOST	$11.2M
O/U 3.5 · Over	LOST	$3.6M
France (-3.5) · France	LOST	$2.5M
O/U 2.5 · Under	LOST	$1.6M
Both Teams to Score	LOST	$1.3M
O/U 4.5 · Over	LOST	$1.3M
France (-1.5) · Iraq	LOST	$1.2M
1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$1.1M
France O/U 2.5 · Under	LOST	$732K
France (-5.5) · France	LOST	$592K
France (-4.5) · France	LOST	$565K
O/U 1.5 · Under	LOST	$523K
O/U 5.5 · Over	LOST	$497K
France 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$366K
O/U 6.5 · Over	LOST	$346K
Iraq O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$299K
1st Half O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$248K
O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$223K
France O/U 1.5 · Under	LOST	$168K
O/U 8.5 · Over	LOST	$158K
O/U 7.5 · Over	LOST	$125K
Iraq O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$121K
Iraq O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$120K
France O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$86K
1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$74K
Iraq (-1.5) · Iraq	LOST	$64K
Both Teams to Score in First Half	LOST	$61K
Iraq (-5.5) · Iraq	LOST	$42K
Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$30K
Iraq (-4.5) · Iraq	LOST	$26K
Iraq (-2.5) · Iraq	LOST	$25K
2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	LOST	$20K
France 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$18K
Both Teams to Score in Second Half	LOST	$11K
France 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	LOST	$5K
2nd Half O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$4K
Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$3K
Iraq (-3.5) · Iraq	LOST	$3K
2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$3K
Iraq 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$646
France 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$406
Iraq 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$348

Price history to resolution

France (-2.5) · FranceO/U 3.5 · UnderFrance (-3.5) · IraqO/U 2.5 · Over

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 55% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 22 at 5:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

How did "France vs. Iraq - More Markets" resolve?: It resolved France (-2.5) · France around June 22, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 54.5% one day before close, 48.5% one week before and 48.5% one month before.
How much was traded?: $29.2M across 42 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs Jaguars vs. Ravens Magic vs. Suns Heat vs. Warriors Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia - More Markets UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Blues vs. Devils Worlds 2026: Winner All live markets Markets resolving this week Prediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.