How did "France vs. Spain - More Markets" resolve?

It resolved Team to Advance · Spain around July 14, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 40.4% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

France vs. Spain - More Markets: result and scorecard

Name: France vs. Spain - More Markets prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Team to Advance · Spain. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 40.4%; a week before, –. $78.2M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Team to Advance · Spain

resolved July 14, 2026

Price 1 day before

40.4%

Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$78.2M

45 outcomes

Sports Games Soccer FIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Team to Advance · Spain	WON	$43.8M
O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$13.0M
O/U 3.5 · Under	WON	$2.4M
France (-1.5) · Spain	WON	$2.2M
O/U 1.5 · Over	WON	$1.8M
O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$1.3M
Spain (-1.5) · Spain	WON	$1.1M
O/U 4.5 · Under	WON	$899K
France O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$877K
France (-2.5) · Spain	WON	$547K
France O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$521K
Spain (-2.5) · France	WON	$519K
O/U 5.5 · Under	WON	$511K
1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$414K
France (-3.5) · Spain	WON	$330K
O/U 6.5 · Under	WON	$320K
1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$255K
Spain O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$219K
Spain O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$191K
Spain (-3.5) · France	WON	$174K
Spain O/U 1.5 · Over	WON	$172K
1st Half O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$161K
O/U 8.5 · Under	WON	$153K
France (-4.5) · Spain	WON	$107K
France O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$86K
France 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$67K
France (-5.5) · Spain	WON	$59K
O/U 7.5 · Under	WON	$53K
2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$37K
Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$30K
France 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$24K
2nd Half O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$23K
Spain (-5.5) · France	WON	$17K
Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$15K
Spain (-4.5) · France	WON	$12K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$10K
2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$9K
France 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$6K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$5K
France 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$5K
Team to Advance · France	LOST	$43.8M
O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$13.0M
Both Teams to Score	LOST	$4.9M
O/U 3.5 · Over	LOST	$2.4M
France (-1.5) · France	LOST	$2.2M
O/U 1.5 · Under	LOST	$1.8M
O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$1.3M
Spain (-1.5) · France	LOST	$1.1M
O/U 4.5 · Over	LOST	$899K
France O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$877K
Both Teams to Score in First Half	LOST	$563K
France (-2.5) · France	LOST	$547K
France O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$521K
Spain (-2.5) · Spain	LOST	$519K
O/U 5.5 · Over	LOST	$511K
1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$414K
France (-3.5) · France	LOST	$330K
O/U 6.5 · Over	LOST	$320K
1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$255K
Spain O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$219K
Spain O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$191K
Spain (-3.5) · Spain	LOST	$174K
Spain O/U 1.5 · Under	LOST	$172K
Both Teams to Score in Second Half	LOST	$167K
1st Half O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$161K
O/U 8.5 · Over	LOST	$153K
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	LOST	$128K
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	LOST	$111K
France (-4.5) · France	LOST	$107K
France O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$86K
France 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$67K
France (-5.5) · France	LOST	$59K
O/U 7.5 · Over	LOST	$53K
2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$37K
Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$30K
France 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$24K
2nd Half O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$23K
Spain (-5.5) · Spain	LOST	$17K
Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$15K
Spain (-4.5) · Spain	LOST	$12K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$10K
2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$9K
France 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$6K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$5K
France 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$5K

Price history to resolution

Team to Advance · SpainO/U 2.5 · UnderO/U 3.5 · UnderFrance (-1.5) · Spain

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 40% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 14 at 3:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

How did "France vs. Spain - More Markets" resolve?: It resolved Team to Advance · Spain around July 14, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 40.4% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $78.2M across 45 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.