Resolved market scorecard
France vs. Spain: result and scorecard
Resolved Spain. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 29.9%; a week before, –. $52.0M traded in total.
Result
Spain
resolved July 14, 2026
Price 1 day before
29.9%
Market leaned the wrong way
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$52.0M
3 outcomes
SportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Spain | WON |
| France | LOST |
| Draw (France vs. Spain) | LOST |
Price history to resolution
SpainFranceDraw (France vs. Spain)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 30% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 14, 2026 between France and Spain.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "France vs. Spain" resolve?
- It resolved Spain around July 14, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 29.9% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $52.0M across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.