How did "Spain vs. Belgium - More Markets" resolve?

It resolved Team to Advance · Spain around July 10, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 73.9% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

Home / Markets / Spain vs. Belgium - More Markets

Resolved market scorecard

Spain vs. Belgium - More Markets: result and scorecard

Name: Spain vs. Belgium - More Markets prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Team to Advance · Spain. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 73.9%; a week before, –. $38.5M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Team to Advance · Spain

resolved July 10, 2026

Price 1 day before

73.9%

Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$38.5M

45 outcomes

Sports Games Soccer FIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Team to Advance · Spain	WON	$11.5M
O/U 2.5 · Over	WON	$7.4M
Spain (-1.5) · Belgium	WON	$6.5M
O/U 3.5 · Under	WON	$2.7M
Both Teams to Score	WON	$1.4M
1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	WON	$877K
O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$857K
1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$829K
O/U 4.5 · Under	WON	$723K
O/U 1.5 · Over	WON	$531K
O/U 5.5 · Under	WON	$488K
O/U 6.5 · Under	WON	$438K
Belgium (-1.5) · Spain	WON	$388K
Spain O/U 1.5 · Over	WON	$372K
Spain O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$313K
Spain (-2.5) · Belgium	WON	$307K
Belgium (-2.5) · Spain	WON	$272K
Belgium O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$256K
1st Half O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$242K
Belgium (-4.5) · Spain	WON	$236K
Belgium O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$224K
Spain (-3.5) · Belgium	WON	$186K
Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$164K
Belgium O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$149K
Both Teams to Score in First Half	WON	$129K
Spain O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$112K
O/U 8.5 · Under	WON	$104K
Spain (-4.5) · Belgium	WON	$92K
Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$91K
Belgium (-3.5) · Spain	WON	$84K
O/U 7.5 · Under	WON	$80K
Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$65K
Spain (-5.5) · Belgium	WON	$61K
2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$42K
Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$32K
2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$16K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$9K
Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$8K
Belgium (-5.5) · Spain	WON	$8K
Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$4K
2nd Half O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$3K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$2K
Team to Advance · Belgium	LOST	$11.5M
O/U 2.5 · Under	LOST	$7.4M
Spain (-1.5) · Spain	LOST	$6.5M
O/U 3.5 · Over	LOST	$2.7M
1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	LOST	$877K
O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$857K
1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$829K
O/U 4.5 · Over	LOST	$723K
O/U 1.5 · Under	LOST	$531K
O/U 5.5 · Over	LOST	$488K
O/U 6.5 · Over	LOST	$438K
Belgium (-1.5) · Belgium	LOST	$388K
Spain O/U 1.5 · Under	LOST	$372K
Spain O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$313K
Spain (-2.5) · Spain	LOST	$307K
Belgium (-2.5) · Belgium	LOST	$272K
Belgium O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$256K
1st Half O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$242K
Belgium (-4.5) · Belgium	LOST	$236K
Belgium O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$224K
Spain (-3.5) · Spain	LOST	$186K
Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$164K
Belgium O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$149K
Spain O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$112K
Both Teams to Score in Second Half	LOST	$108K
O/U 8.5 · Over	LOST	$104K
Spain (-4.5) · Spain	LOST	$92K
Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$91K
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	LOST	$87K
Belgium (-3.5) · Belgium	LOST	$84K
O/U 7.5 · Over	LOST	$80K
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	LOST	$74K
Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$65K
Spain (-5.5) · Spain	LOST	$61K
2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$42K
Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$32K
2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$16K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$9K
Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$8K
Belgium (-5.5) · Belgium	LOST	$8K
Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$4K
2nd Half O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$3K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$2K

Price history to resolution

Team to Advance · SpainO/U 2.5 · OverSpain (-1.5) · BelgiumO/U 3.5 · Under

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 74% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 10 at 3:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Spain vs. Belgium - More Markets" resolve?: It resolved Team to Advance · Spain around July 10, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 73.9% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $38.5M across 45 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.