How did "Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets" resolve?

It resolved Team to Advance · Spain around July 19, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 59.6% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets: result and scorecard

Name: Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Team to Advance · Spain. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 59.6%; a week before, –. $85.9M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Team to Advance · Spain

resolved July 19, 2026

Price 1 day before

59.6%

Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$85.9M

45 outcomes

Sports Games Soccer FIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Team to Advance · Spain	WON	$43.4M
O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$7.1M
Spain (-1.5) · Argentina	WON	$4.3M
O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$3.9M
O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$2.6M
O/U 3.5 · Under	WON	$1.6M
Argentina (-1.5) · Spain	WON	$1.3M
O/U 4.5 · Under	WON	$1.3M
1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$1.3M
Argentina (-2.5) · Spain	WON	$1.0M
Spain (-2.5) · Argentina	WON	$914K
Argentina O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$715K
1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$633K
O/U 8.5 · Under	WON	$626K
Argentina O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$513K
O/U 5.5 · Under	WON	$506K
1st Half O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$491K
Spain O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$464K
Argentina O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$456K
O/U 7.5 · Under	WON	$374K
O/U 6.5 · Under	WON	$374K
Spain O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$335K
Spain (-3.5) · Argentina	WON	$292K
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	WON	$237K
Spain O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$194K
Argentina (-4.5) · Spain	WON	$185K
Argentina (-3.5) · Spain	WON	$180K
Spain (-4.5) · Argentina	WON	$119K
Spain (-5.5) · Argentina	WON	$81K
Argentina (-5.5) · Spain	WON	$60K
Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$52K
2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$47K
Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$34K
Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$32K
Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$27K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$25K
2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$24K
Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$15K
2nd Half O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$11K
Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$11K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$2K
Team to Advance · Argentina	LOST	$43.4M
Both Teams to Score	LOST	$8.6M
O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$7.1M
Spain (-1.5) · Spain	LOST	$4.3M
O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$3.9M
O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$2.6M
O/U 3.5 · Over	LOST	$1.6M
Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina	LOST	$1.3M
O/U 4.5 · Over	LOST	$1.3M
1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$1.3M
Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina	LOST	$1.0M
Spain (-2.5) · Spain	LOST	$914K
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	LOST	$876K
Argentina O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$715K
1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$633K
O/U 8.5 · Over	LOST	$626K
Argentina O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$513K
O/U 5.5 · Over	LOST	$506K
1st Half O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$491K
Spain O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$464K
Argentina O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$456K
O/U 7.5 · Over	LOST	$374K
O/U 6.5 · Over	LOST	$374K
Both Teams to Score in Second Half	LOST	$365K
Spain O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$335K
Spain (-3.5) · Spain	LOST	$292K
Both Teams to Score in First Half	LOST	$219K
Spain O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$194K
Argentina (-4.5) · Argentina	LOST	$185K
Argentina (-3.5) · Argentina	LOST	$180K
Spain (-4.5) · Spain	LOST	$119K
Spain (-5.5) · Spain	LOST	$81K
Argentina (-5.5) · Argentina	LOST	$60K
Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$52K
2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$47K
Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$34K
Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$32K
Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$27K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$25K
2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$24K
Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$15K
2nd Half O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$11K
Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$11K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$2K

Price history to resolution

Team to Advance · SpainO/U 2.5 · UnderSpain (-1.5) · ArgentinaO/U 1.5 · Under

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 60% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets" resolve?: It resolved Team to Advance · Spain around July 19, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 59.6% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $85.9M across 45 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.