Resolved market scorecard
Spain vs. Argentina: result and scorecard
Resolved Draw (Spain vs. Argentina). One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 31.6%; a week before, –. $47.1M traded in total.
Result
Draw (Spain vs. Argentina)
resolved July 19, 2026
Price 1 day before
31.6%
Market leaned the wrong way
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$47.1M
3 outcomes
SportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Draw (Spain vs. Argentina) | WON |
| Spain | LOST |
| Argentina | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Draw (Spain vs. Argentina)SpainArgentina
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 32% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Sunday, July 19, 2026 between Spain and Argentina.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Spain vs. Argentina" resolve?
- It resolved Draw (Spain vs. Argentina) around July 19, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 31.6% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $47.1M across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.