How did "England vs. Argentina - More Markets" resolve?

It resolved Team to Advance · Argentina around July 15, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 46.1% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

England vs. Argentina - More Markets: result and scorecard

Name: England vs. Argentina - More Markets prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Team to Advance · Argentina. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 46.1%; a week before, –. $65.6M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Team to Advance · Argentina

resolved July 15, 2026

Price 1 day before

46.1%

Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$65.6M

45 outcomes

Sports Games Soccer FIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Team to Advance · Argentina	WON	$27.8M
Both Teams to Score	WON	$9.8M
O/U 2.5 · Over	WON	$8.0M
O/U 1.5 · Over	WON	$4.4M
England (-1.5) · Argentina	WON	$2.7M
O/U 3.5 · Under	WON	$2.3M
O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$2.0M
England (-2.5) · Argentina	WON	$1.1M
Argentina (-1.5) · England	WON	$840K
O/U 4.5 · Under	WON	$775K
1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$666K
Argentina (-2.5) · England	WON	$543K
Argentina O/U 1.5 · Over	WON	$416K
1st Half O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$404K
O/U 5.5 · Under	WON	$379K
England O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$353K
England (-3.5) · Argentina	WON	$317K
Both Teams to Score in Second Half	WON	$285K
Argentina O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$284K
England O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$252K
O/U 6.5 · Under	WON	$231K
1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$225K
O/U 8.5 · Under	WON	$202K
Argentina (-3.5) · England	WON	$172K
Argentina O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$138K
England (-4.5) · Argentina	WON	$82K
England O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$73K
O/U 7.5 · Under	WON	$56K
England (-5.5) · Argentina	WON	$42K
2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	WON	$38K
England 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$32K
Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$25K
England 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$24K
Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$23K
2nd Half O/U 2.5 · Over	WON	$21K
Argentina (-5.5) · England	WON	$19K
Argentina (-4.5) · England	WON	$15K
2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$12K
England 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$7K
Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$5K
Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	WON	$4K
England 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$1K
Team to Advance · England	LOST	$27.8M
O/U 2.5 · Under	LOST	$8.0M
O/U 1.5 · Under	LOST	$4.4M
England (-1.5) · England	LOST	$2.7M
O/U 3.5 · Over	LOST	$2.3M
O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$2.0M
England (-2.5) · England	LOST	$1.1M
Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina	LOST	$840K
O/U 4.5 · Over	LOST	$775K
1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$666K
Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina	LOST	$543K
Argentina O/U 1.5 · Under	LOST	$416K
1st Half O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$404K
O/U 5.5 · Over	LOST	$379K
England O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$353K
England (-3.5) · England	LOST	$317K
Argentina O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$284K
England O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$252K
O/U 6.5 · Over	LOST	$231K
1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$225K
O/U 8.5 · Over	LOST	$202K
Argentina (-3.5) · Argentina	LOST	$172K
Both Teams to Score in First Half	LOST	$169K
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	LOST	$165K
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	LOST	$144K
Argentina O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$138K
England (-4.5) · England	LOST	$82K
England O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$73K
O/U 7.5 · Over	LOST	$56K
England (-5.5) · England	LOST	$42K
2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	LOST	$38K
England 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$32K
Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$25K
England 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$24K
Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$23K
2nd Half O/U 2.5 · Under	LOST	$21K
Argentina (-5.5) · Argentina	LOST	$19K
Argentina (-4.5) · Argentina	LOST	$15K
2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$12K
England 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$7K
Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$5K
Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	LOST	$4K
England 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$1K

Price history to resolution

Team to Advance · ArgentinaBoth Teams to ScoreO/U 2.5 · OverO/U 1.5 · Over

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 46% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 15 at 3:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

How did "England vs. Argentina - More Markets" resolve?: It resolved Team to Advance · Argentina around July 15, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 46.1% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $65.6M across 45 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.