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Resolved market scorecard

England vs. Argentina: result and scorecard

Resolved Argentina. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 31.9%; a week before, –. $38.5M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Argentina
resolved July 15, 2026

Price 1 day before

31.9%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$38.5M
3 outcomes

SportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
ArgentinaWON$12.5M
EnglandLOST$17.6M
Draw (England vs. Argentina)LOST$8.4M

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-1207-1407-15
ArgentinaEnglandDraw (England vs. Argentina)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 32% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 15, 2026 between England and Argentina.

Frequently asked questions

How did "England vs. Argentina" resolve?
It resolved Argentina around July 15, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 31.9% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$38.5M across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.