Resolved market scorecard
Ecuador vs. Germany: result and scorecard
Resolved Ecuador. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 24.3%; a week before, 19.5%. $40.1M traded in total.
Result
Ecuador
resolved June 25, 2026
Price 1 day before
24.3%
Market leaned the wrong way
Price 7 days before
19.5%
30 days before: 19.0%
Volume
$40.1M
3 outcomes
SportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Ecuador | WON |
| Germany | LOST |
| Draw (Ecuador vs. Germany) | LOST |
Price history to resolution
EcuadorGermanyDraw (Ecuador vs. Germany)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 24% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Thursday, June 25, 2026 between Ecuador and Germany.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Ecuador vs. Germany" resolve?
- It resolved Ecuador around June 25, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 24.3% one day before close, 19.5% one week before and 19.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $40.1M across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.