What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 56.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

Home / Markets / FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)

Resolved market scorecard

FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance): result and scorecard

Name: FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance) prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved PSG. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 56.0%; a week before, –. $1.0M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

PSG

resolved July 9, 2025

Price 1 day before

56.0%

Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$1.0M

1 outcome

Sports Soccer Games FIFA Club World Cup

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
PSG	WON	$1.0M
Real Madrid	LOST	$1.0M

Price history to resolution

PSGReal Madrid

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 56% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the FIFA Club World Cup semifinals match between PSG and Real Madrid. If PSG advances to the next round of the FIFA Club World Cup, this market will resolve to "PSG". If Real Madrid advances to the next round of the FIFA Club World Cup, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If the match is canceled or postponed beyond July 11, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA Club World Cup.

Frequently asked questions

How did "FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)" resolve?: It resolved PSG around July 9, 2025.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 56.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $1.0M across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.