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Home / Markets / Eurovision Last Place 2026
Resolved market scorecard

Eurovision Last Place 2026: result and scorecard

Resolved United Kingdom. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 38.0%; a week before, 26.5%. $292K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

United Kingdom
resolved May 17, 2026

Price 1 day before

38.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

26.5%
30 days before: 22.5%

Volume

$292K
50 outcomes

EurovisionMusicCulture

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
United KingdomWON$62K
GermanyLOST$37K
AustriaLOST$31K
FinlandLOST$20K
AzerbaijanLOST$17K
BelgiumLOST$11K
EstoniaLOST$10K
GreeceLOST$9K
LithuaniaLOST$9K
NorwayLOST$7K
CyprusLOST$6K
SerbiaLOST$6K
MaltaLOST$5K
San MarinoLOST$5K
PolandLOST$5K
UkraineLOST$5K
IsraelLOST$4K
LatviaLOST$4K
SwedenLOST$3K
PortugalLOST$3K
SwitzerlandLOST$3K
DenmarkLOST$3K
MontenegroLOST$3K
RomaniaLOST$3K
AustraliaLOST$3K
CzechiaLOST$2K
ArmeniaLOST$2K
AlbaniaLOST$2K
FranceLOST$2K
MoldovaLOST$2K
CroatiaLOST$2K
ItalyLOST$2K
BulgariaLOST$1K
GeorgiaLOST$1K
LuxembourgLOST$1K
Country BLOST$0
Country CLOST$0
Country DLOST$0
Country ELOST$0
Country FLOST$0
Country GLOST$0
Country HLOST$0
Country ILOST$0
Country JLOST$0
Country KLOST$0
Country LLOST$0
Country MLOST$0
Country NLOST$0
Country OLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-2004-1805-17
United KingdomGermanyAustriaFinland
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 38% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Eurovision Last Place 2026" resolve?
It resolved United Kingdom around May 16, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 38.0% one day before close, 26.5% one week before and 22.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$292K across 50 outcomes.

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Eurovision Asia Winner 2026Eurovision Asia 3rd Place 2026Eurovision Asia 2026: Jury WinnerEurovision Asia 2nd Place 2026Eurovision Asia 2026: Public Vote WinnerEurovision 2027 ParticipantsAll live marketsMarkets resolving this weekPrediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.