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Resolved market scorecard

Eurovision 2026: Top 10: result and scorecard

Resolved Finland. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.1%; a week before, 95.4%. $3.2M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Finland
resolved May 17, 2026

Price 1 day before

98.1%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

95.4%
30 days before: 90.6%

Volume

$3.2M
35 outcomes

EurovisionMusicAwardsCulture

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
FinlandWON$324K
GreeceWON$211K
DenmarkWON$163K
RomaniaWON$160K
AustraliaWON$140K
BulgariaWON$139K
ItalyWON$124K
UkraineWON$120K
MoldovaWON$118K
IsraelWON$114K
FranceLOST$154K
CyprusLOST$152K
SerbiaLOST$149K
CroatiaLOST$122K
MaltaLOST$110K
CzechiaLOST$110K
SwedenLOST$95K
PolandLOST$78K
LithuaniaLOST$75K
NorwayLOST$68K
AlbaniaLOST$64K
GermanyLOST$50K
BelgiumLOST$46K
United KingdomLOST$44K
EstoniaLOST$36K
LuxembourgLOST$33K
SwitzerlandLOST$31K
AustriaLOST$29K
AzerbaijanLOST$24K
ArmeniaLOST$20K
San MarinoLOST$19K
MontenegroLOST$17K
PortugalLOST$9K
GeorgiaLOST$9K
LatviaLOST$7K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-1004-1305-17
FinlandGreeceDenmarkRomania
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 98% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" resolve?
It resolved Finland around May 16, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.1% one day before close, 95.4% one week before and 90.6% one month before.
How much was traded?
$3.2M across 35 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.