Resolved market scorecard
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: result and scorecard
Resolved Arsenal FC. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 36.5%; a week before, 46.0%. $4.8M traded in total.
Result
Arsenal FC
resolved August 16, 2026
Price 1 day before
36.5%
Market leaned the wrong way
Price 7 days before
46.0%
30 days before: –
Volume
$4.8M
3 outcomes
SportsGamesSoccerFA Community Shield
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Arsenal FC | WON |
| Manchester City | LOST |
| Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City) | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Arsenal FCManchester CityDraw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 37% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This event is for the upcoming FA Community Shield game, scheduled for Sunday, August 16, 2026 between Arsenal FC and Manchester City.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City" resolve?
- It resolved Arsenal FC around August 16, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 36.5% one day before close, 46.0% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $4.8M across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.