What are the odds that Ebola pandemic in 2026?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 2.6% and No at 97.4%, on $813K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$813K in total and $637 in the last 24 hours, with about $36K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Live market data

Ebola pandemic in 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Ebola pandemic in 2026? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 2.6% (-0.1 pts in 24h). $813K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

2.6%

No 97.4% · Trade →

24h move

-0.1

pts · 7d -0.6

Volume

$813K

24h $637 · liquidity $36K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Weather Hantavirus Pandemics

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	2.6%	-0.1	-0.6	$813K	0.2¢
No	97.4%	+0.1	+0.6	$813K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 3% risks 3¢ to win 97¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Ebola pandemic in 2026?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 2.6% and No at 97.4%, on $813K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $813K in total and $637 in the last 24 hours, with about $36K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.