CMA Single of the Year 2026: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) at 88.5%, ahead of A at 50.0%. $8K traded across 32 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
CMAsMusicAwardsCulturemusic industry
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) | 88.5% | 0.0 |
| A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| N | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Q | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| R | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| S | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| T | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| U | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| V | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| X | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Y | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Z | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Be Her (Ella Langley) | 4.5% | +0.1 |
| Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson) | 3.5% | -3.0 |
| The Fall (Cody Johnson) | 2.4% | +0.7 |
| I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift) | 2.4% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year. If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "CMA Single of the Year 2026"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) is the favorite at 88.5%, followed by A at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 19, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $8K in total and $11 in the last 24 hours, with about $7K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.