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Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27): live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is SC Paderborn at 46.0%, ahead of Borussia Mönchengladbach at 43.5%. $53K traded across 18 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

46.0%
SC Paderborn · Trade →

24h move

-0.5
pts · 7d +2.5

Volume

$53K
24h $615 · liquidity $38K

Closes

July 1, 2027
237 days left

SportsSoccerBundesligaGamesprops

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
SC Paderborn46.0% -0.5+2.5$18K2.0¢
Borussia Mönchengladbach43.5% 0.0+9.5$4K1.0¢
FC Schalke 0438.5% 0.0+1.0$3K1.0¢
Union Berlin32.0% 0.0-0.5$2K2.0¢
Hamburger SV28.0% -0.5+4.0$10K2.0¢
1. FC Köln27.5% -3.0-2.5$1K3.0¢
SV Elversberg17.5% 0.0-1.5$1K5.0¢
Eintracht Frankfurt11.0% -0.5-1.0$3K2.0¢
Werder Bremen11.0% 0.0-2.0$3K2.0¢
FC Augsburg10.5% 0.0-2.0$2K3.0¢
Mainz 056.0% -2.5-3.0$10210.0¢
TSG Hoffenheim3.5% -0.1-0.9$7063.4¢
SC Freiburg2.9% +0.30.0$1K5.1¢
Bayer Leverkusen2.6% +0.50.0$2954.5¢
Borussia Dortmund2.4% 0.00.0$1K4.4¢
Bayern Munich2.1% 0.00.0$6113.8¢
RB Leipzig2.0% 0.00.0$8202.0¢
VfB Stuttgart1.4% 0.0-2.1$2K2.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%08-2509-3011-06
SC PaderbornBorussia MönchengladbachFC Schalke 04Union Berlin

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying SC Paderborn at 46% risks 46¢ to win 54¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)"?
As of November 6, 2026, SC Paderborn is the favorite at 46.0%, followed by Borussia Mönchengladbach at 43.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$53K in total and $615 in the last 24 hours, with about $38K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.