Resolved market scorecard
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: result and scorecard
Resolved FC Bayern München. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 61.5%; a week before, 59.5%. $4.2M traded in total.
Result
FC Bayern München
resolved May 9, 2026
Price 1 day before
61.5%
Market leaned the right way
Price 7 days before
59.5%
30 days before: –
Volume
$4.2M
3 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| FC Bayern München | WON |
| VfL Wolfsburg | LOST |
| Draw (VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München) | LOST |
Price history to resolution
FC Bayern MünchenVfL WolfsburgDraw (VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 62% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between VfL Wolfsburg and FC Bayern München.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München" resolve?
- It resolved FC Bayern München around May 9, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 61.5% one day before close, 59.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $4.2M across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.