Resolved market scorecard
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: result and scorecard
Resolved Draw (FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846). One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 13.5%; a week before, 12.5%. $4.3M traded in total.
Result
Draw (FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846)
resolved May 2, 2026
Price 1 day before
13.5%
Market leaned the wrong way
Price 7 days before
12.5%
30 days before: –
Volume
$4.3M
3 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Draw (FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846) | WON |
| FC Bayern München | LOST |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Draw (FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846)FC Bayern München1. FC Heidenheim 1846
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 14% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between FC Bayern München and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846" resolve?
- It resolved Draw (FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846) around May 2, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 13.5% one day before close, 12.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $4.3M across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.