Bitcoin green days week of November 2?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 3 Green Days at 50.5%, ahead of 2 Green Days at 49.5%. $232 traded across 8 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
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All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 3 Green Days | 50.5% | +1.5 |
| 2 Green Days | 49.5% | 0.0 |
| 4 Green Days | 49.5% | +1.5 |
| 5 Green Days | 49.5% | +0.5 |
| 0 Green Days | 49.0% | +3.0 |
| 1 Green Days | 49.0% | +4.5 |
| 6 Green Days | 44.5% | -2.5 |
| 7 Green Days | 40.5% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Bitcoin green days week of November 2?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 3 Green Days is the favorite at 50.5%, followed by 2 Green Days at 49.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 9, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $232 in total and $58 in the last 24 hours, with about $39 of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.