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Home / Markets / Ballon d'Or Winner 2027
Live market data

Ballon d'Or Winner 2027: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is A at 50.0%, ahead of B at 50.0%. $23K traded across 126 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

50.0%
A · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$23K
24h $2K · liquidity $973K

Closes

January 1, 2028
421 days left

AwardsSoccerSportsBallon d'OrHide From New

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
A50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
B50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
C50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
D50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
E50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
F50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
G50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
H50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
I50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
J50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
K50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
L50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
M50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
N50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
O50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
P50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Q50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
R50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
S50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
T50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
U50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
V50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
W50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
X50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Y50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Z50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AA50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AB50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AC50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AD50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AE50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AF50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AG50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AH50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AI50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AJ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AK50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AL50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AM50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AN50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AO50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AP50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AQ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AR50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AS50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AT50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AU50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AV50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AW50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AX50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AY50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
AZ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BA50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BB50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BC50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BD50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BE50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BF50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BG50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BH50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BI50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BJ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BK50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BL50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BM50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BN50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BO50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BP50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BQ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BR50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BS50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BT50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BU50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BV50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BW50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BX50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BY50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
BZ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CA50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CB50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CC50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CD50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CE50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CF50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CG50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CH50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CI50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CJ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CK50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CL50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CM50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CN50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CO50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CP50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CQ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CR50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
CS50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Lamine Yamal24.5% 0.0-1.0$3K1.0¢
Kylian Mbappé21.5% -0.5-1.5$3K1.0¢
Raphinha12.5% -2.5+4.0$2K3.0¢
Michael Olise10.3% -3.1-0.1$2K1.1¢
Erling Haaland5.9% -0.1-1.9$7053.3¢
Rayan Cherki5.3% +0.7+3.2$2K3.7¢
Desire Doue5.0% -0.5-3.0$2K2.0¢
Harry Kane4.6% -1.7-4.2$9302.4¢
Jude Bellingham4.3% 0.0-1.3$7440.5¢
Declan Rice3.4% -0.7-0.8$6201.0¢
Ousmane Dembélé3.0% -0.2-0.8$4692.5¢
Vitinha2.5% -0.9-3.1$9762.7¢
Julian Alvarez2.1% 0.0-0.7$4473.9¢
Fabian Ruiz1.8% +0.1+0.3$4172.9¢
Rodri1.7% 0.0-0.8$4692.2¢
Mohamed Salah1.5% 0.0-0.1$2982.8¢
Luis Diaz1.5% -0.1-0.1$2982.9¢
Achraf Hakimi1.4% 0.0-0.2$3492.0¢
Alexander Isak1.4% 0.0-0.2$3462.5¢
Bruno Fernandes1.3% 0.0-0.3$3462.4¢
João Neves0.9% 0.0-0.7$2981.3¢
William Saliba0.8% 0.0-0.8$2981.3¢
Bukayo Saka0.8% -0.8-1.1$4390.9¢
Marc Cucurella0.7% 0.0-0.9$2981.2¢
Lautaro Martinez0.6% 0.0-1.0$2980.8¢
Cristiano Ronaldo0.4% -0.4-1.6$1K0.5¢
Lionel Messi0.3% 0.0-0.7$5360.1¢
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia0.1% 0.0-1.4$2000.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

Not enough price history yet for a chart.

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Ballon d'Or award for the 2027 Ballon d'Or. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by France Football and UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying A at 50% risks 50¢ to win 50¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Ballon d'Or Winner 2027"?
As of November 6, 2026, A is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by B at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$23K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $973K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.