Get the brief
LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Ballon d'Or 2026: 5th Place
Resolved market scorecard

Ballon d'Or 2026: 5th Place: result and scorecard

Resolved Lionel Messi. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 65.5%; a week before, –. $98K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Lionel Messi
resolved October 27, 2026

Price 1 day before

65.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$98K
51 outcomes

AwardsSoccerSportsBallon d'OrHide From New

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Lionel MessiWON$42K
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLOST$11K
Michael OliseLOST$8K
RodriLOST$7K
Fabian RuizLOST$5K
Ousmane DembéléLOST$5K
Lamine YamalLOST$4K
Erling HaalandLOST$4K
Kylian MbappéLOST$4K
Jude BellinghamLOST$2K
Pau CubarsiLOST$2K
Harry KaneLOST$2K
Achraf HakimiLOST$869
Vinícius JúniorLOST$849
Bruno FernandesLOST$101
MarquinhosLOST$80
Nuno MendesLOST$71
Declan RiceLOST$70
Luis DiazLOST$70
Lautaro MartinezLOST$70
Gabriel MagalhãesLOST$70
Sadio ManéLOST$70
VitinhaLOST$50
Marc CucurellaLOST$50
João NevesLOST$50
Julián QuiñonesLOST$50
William SalibaLOST$50
Ferran TorresLOST$50
Dayot UpamecanoLOST$50
Willian PachoLOST$0
Player ALOST$0
Player BLOST$0
Player CLOST$0
Player DLOST$0
Player ELOST$0
Player FLOST$0
Player GLOST$0
Player HLOST$0
Player ILOST$0
Player JLOST$0
Player KLOST$0
Player LLOST$0
Player MLOST$0
Player NLOST$0
Player OLOST$0
Player PLOST$0
Player QLOST$0
Player RLOST$0
Player SLOST$0
Player TLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-2110-2410-27
Lionel MessiKhvicha KvaratskheliaMichael OliseRodri
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 66% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 5th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 5th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Ballon d'Or 2026: 5th Place" resolve?
It resolved Lionel Messi around January 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 65.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$98K across 51 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Oscars 2027: Best Picture WinnerNBA: 2026-27 MVPMLB: NL Rookie of the YearOscars 2027: Best Costume Design NominationsOscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027Eurovision Asia Winner 2026Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film NominationsAll live marketsMarkets resolving this weekPrediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.