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Home / Markets / Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place
Resolved market scorecard

Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place: result and scorecard

Resolved Rodri. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 46.5%; a week before, –. $101K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Rodri
resolved October 27, 2026

Price 1 day before

46.5%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$101K
51 outcomes

AwardsSoccerSportsBallon d'OrHide From New

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
RodriWON$43K
Kylian MbappéLOST$10K
Lionel MessiLOST$9K
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLOST$8K
Michael OliseLOST$7K
Ousmane DembéléLOST$7K
Lamine YamalLOST$6K
Fabian RuizLOST$4K
Erling HaalandLOST$3K
Harry KaneLOST$3K
Jude BellinghamLOST$182
Vinícius JúniorLOST$98
William SalibaLOST$90
Pau CubarsiLOST$85
Achraf HakimiLOST$85
Bruno FernandesLOST$85
Luis DiazLOST$85
Marc CucurellaLOST$85
Gabriel MagalhãesLOST$85
Sadio ManéLOST$85
Nuno MendesLOST$85
João NevesLOST$85
MarquinhosLOST$79
Lautaro MartinezLOST$59
Julián QuiñonesLOST$59
Declan RiceLOST$50
VitinhaLOST$50
Willian PachoLOST$50
Dayot UpamecanoLOST$50
Ferran TorresLOST$0
Player ALOST$0
Player BLOST$0
Player CLOST$0
Player DLOST$0
Player ELOST$0
Player FLOST$0
Player GLOST$0
Player HLOST$0
Player ILOST$0
Player JLOST$0
Player KLOST$0
Player LLOST$0
Player MLOST$0
Player NLOST$0
Player OLOST$0
Player PLOST$0
Player QLOST$0
Player RLOST$0
Player SLOST$0
Player TLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-2110-2410-27
RodriKylian MbappéLionel MessiKhvicha Kvaratskhelia
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 47% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place" resolve?
It resolved Rodri around January 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 46.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$101K across 51 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.