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Home / Markets / Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place
Resolved market scorecard

Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place: result and scorecard

Resolved Lamine Yamal. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 65.5%; a week before, 64.5%. $381K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Lamine Yamal
resolved October 27, 2026

Price 1 day before

65.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

64.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$381K
51 outcomes

AwardsSoccerSportsBallon d'Or

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Lamine YamalWON$179K
Kylian MbappéLOST$51K
RodriLOST$23K
Harry KaneLOST$23K
Lionel MessiLOST$22K
Ousmane DembéléLOST$19K
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLOST$17K
Michael OliseLOST$16K
Fabian RuizLOST$11K
Erling HaalandLOST$9K
Declan RiceLOST$3K
VitinhaLOST$2K
Vinícius JúniorLOST$2K
Jude BellinghamLOST$2K
Lautaro MartinezLOST$2K
Gabriel MagalhãesLOST$60
Ferran TorresLOST$60
Pau CubarsiLOST$50
Achraf HakimiLOST$50
Bruno FernandesLOST$50
Luis DiazLOST$50
Marc CucurellaLOST$50
MarquinhosLOST$50
Nuno MendesLOST$50
João NevesLOST$50
Willian PachoLOST$50
Julián QuiñonesLOST$50
William SalibaLOST$50
Dayot UpamecanoLOST$50
Sadio ManéLOST$0
Player ALOST$0
Player BLOST$0
Player CLOST$0
Player DLOST$0
Player ELOST$0
Player FLOST$0
Player GLOST$0
Player HLOST$0
Player ILOST$0
Player JLOST$0
Player KLOST$0
Player LLOST$0
Player MLOST$0
Player NLOST$0
Player OLOST$0
Player PLOST$0
Player QLOST$0
Player RLOST$0
Player SLOST$0
Player TLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-2010-2310-27
Lamine YamalKylian MbappéRodriHarry Kane
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 66% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 3rd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 3rd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place" resolve?
It resolved Lamine Yamal around January 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 65.5% one day before close, 64.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$381K across 51 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.