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Home / Markets / Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place
Resolved market scorecard

Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place: result and scorecard

Resolved Kylian Mbappé. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 62.0%; a week before, 64.5%. $596K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Kylian Mbappé
resolved October 27, 2026

Price 1 day before

62.0%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

64.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$596K
51 outcomes

AwardsSoccerSportsBallon d'Or

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Kylian MbappéWON$193K
Lamine YamalLOST$133K
Harry KaneLOST$49K
RodriLOST$44K
Ousmane DembéléLOST$44K
Lionel MessiLOST$44K
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLOST$33K
Michael OliseLOST$27K
Fabian RuizLOST$13K
Pau CubarsiLOST$10K
Erling HaalandLOST$2K
VitinhaLOST$1K
Jude BellinghamLOST$930
Vinícius JúniorLOST$707
Declan RiceLOST$630
João NevesLOST$134
Willian PachoLOST$127
Ferran TorresLOST$127
Achraf HakimiLOST$105
Nuno MendesLOST$97
William SalibaLOST$97
Dayot UpamecanoLOST$97
Julián QuiñonesLOST$60
Bruno FernandesLOST$50
Luis DiazLOST$50
Lautaro MartinezLOST$50
Marc CucurellaLOST$50
Gabriel MagalhãesLOST$50
Sadio ManéLOST$50
MarquinhosLOST$50
Player ALOST$0
Player BLOST$0
Player CLOST$0
Player DLOST$0
Player ELOST$0
Player FLOST$0
Player GLOST$0
Player HLOST$0
Player ILOST$0
Player JLOST$0
Player KLOST$0
Player LLOST$0
Player MLOST$0
Player NLOST$0
Player OLOST$0
Player PLOST$0
Player QLOST$0
Player RLOST$0
Player SLOST$0
Player TLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-2010-2310-27
Kylian MbappéLamine YamalHarry KaneRodri
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 62% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 2nd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 2nd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place" resolve?
It resolved Kylian Mbappé around January 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 62.0% one day before close, 64.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$596K across 51 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.