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Home / Markets / US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz
Resolved market scorecard

US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz: result and scorecard

Resolved Carlos Alcaraz. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 92.5%; a week before, –. $2.3M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Carlos Alcaraz
resolved September 4, 2026

Price 1 day before

92.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$2.3M
26 outcomes

TennisSportsGames

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Carlos AlcarazWON$2.2M
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-2.5 · AlcarazWON$93K
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-6.5 · AlcarazWON$9K
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 · AlcarazWON$5K
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 Winner · AlcarazWON$5K
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner · AlcarazWON$4K
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 4.5 · Under 4.5WON$4K
Completed MatchWON$3K
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5 · Under 3.5WON$2K
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5 · UnderWON$202
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 36.5 · UnderWON$79
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 38.5 · UnderWON$77
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 Winner · AlcarazWON$30
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.5 · OverWON$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.5 · OverWON$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 · OverWON$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 10.5 · UnderWON$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 · UnderWON$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 40.5 · UnderWON$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 8.5 · UnderWON$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 9.5 · UnderWON$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 10.5 · UnderWON$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 Winner · WuLOST$168
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 Winner · AlcarazLOST$168
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 8.5 · OverLOST$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 8.5 · UnderLOST$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 9.5 · OverLOST$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 9.5 · UnderLOST$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 10.5 · OverLOST$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 10.5 · UnderLOST$0
Yibing WuLOST$2.2M
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-2.5 · WuLOST$93K
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-6.5 · WuLOST$9K
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 · WuLOST$5K
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 Winner · WuLOST$5K
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner · WuLOST$4K
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 4.5 · Over 4.5LOST$4K
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5 · Over 3.5LOST$2K
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5 · OverLOST$202
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 36.5 · OverLOST$79
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 38.5 · OverLOST$77
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 Winner · WuLOST$30
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.5 · UnderLOST$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.5 · UnderLOST$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 · UnderLOST$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 10.5 · OverLOST$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 · OverLOST$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 40.5 · OverLOST$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 8.5 · OverLOST$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 9.5 · OverLOST$0
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 10.5 · OverLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%09-0309-0409-04
Carlos AlcarazUS Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-2.5 · AlcarazUS Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-6.5 · AlcarazUS Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 · Alcaraz
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 93% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yibing Wu' if Yibing Wu advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Yibing Wu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz" resolve?
It resolved Carlos Alcaraz around September 11, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 92.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$2.3M across 26 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.