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Home / Markets / US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Resolved market scorecard

US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz: result and scorecard

Resolved Carlos Alcaraz. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 83.5%; a week before, –. $2.2M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Carlos Alcaraz
resolved September 6, 2026

Price 1 day before

83.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$2.2M
26 outcomes

TennisSportsGames

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Carlos AlcarazWON$2.1M
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-6.5 · AlcarazWON$19K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-2.5 · AlcarazWON$16K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5 · Under 3.5WON$6K
Completed MatchWON$6K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 Winner · AlcarazWON$6K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 Winner · AlcarazWON$6K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 · AlcarazWON$4K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 36.5 · UnderWON$3K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 · OverWON$2K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner · AlcarazWON$840
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 4.5 · Under 4.5WON$454
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5 · UnderWON$281
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 38.5 · UnderWON$254
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 40.5 · UnderWON$115
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 · OverWON$8
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.5 · OverWON$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.5 · UnderWON$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 10.5 · UnderWON$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 8.5 · OverWON$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 9.5 · OverWON$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 10.5 · UnderWON$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 Winner · PaulLOST$3K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 Winner · AlcarazLOST$3K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 8.5 · OverLOST$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 8.5 · UnderLOST$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 9.5 · OverLOST$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 9.5 · UnderLOST$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 10.5 · OverLOST$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 10.5 · UnderLOST$0
Tommy PaulLOST$2.1M
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-6.5 · PaulLOST$19K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-2.5 · PaulLOST$16K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5 · Over 3.5LOST$6K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 Winner · PaulLOST$6K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 Winner · PaulLOST$6K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 · PaulLOST$4K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 36.5 · OverLOST$3K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 · UnderLOST$2K
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner · PaulLOST$840
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 4.5 · Over 4.5LOST$454
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5 · OverLOST$281
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 38.5 · OverLOST$254
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 40.5 · OverLOST$115
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 · UnderLOST$8
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.5 · UnderLOST$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.5 · OverLOST$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 10.5 · OverLOST$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 8.5 · UnderLOST$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 9.5 · UnderLOST$0
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 10.5 · OverLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%09-0509-0509-06
Carlos AlcarazUS Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-6.5 · AlcarazUS Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-2.5 · AlcarazUS Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5 · Under 3.5
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 84% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz" resolve?
It resolved Carlos Alcaraz around September 13, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 83.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$2.2M across 26 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.