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Home / Markets / Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz
Resolved market scorecard

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz: result and scorecard

Resolved Carlos Alcaraz. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 79.5%; a week before, –. $770K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Carlos Alcaraz
resolved October 27, 2026

Price 1 day before

79.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$770K
16 outcomes

TennisSportsGames

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Carlos AlcarazWON$740K
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 · Carlos AlcarazWON$12K
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 21.5 · OverWON$8K
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner · Carlos AlcarazWON$7K
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 Winner · Carlos AlcarazWON$4K
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 22.5 · OverWON$312
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 23.5 · UnderWON$103
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5WON$75
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 · OverWON$30
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 · Carlos AlcarazWON$25
Completed MatchWON$0
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 · OverWON$0
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5 · UnderWON$0
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.5 · OverWON$0
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.5 · OverWON$0
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 10.5 · OverWON$0
Karen KhachanovLOST$740K
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 · Karen KhachanovLOST$12K
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 21.5 · UnderLOST$8K
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner · Karen KhachanovLOST$7K
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 Winner · Karen KhachanovLOST$4K
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 22.5 · UnderLOST$312
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 23.5 · OverLOST$103
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5LOST$75
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 · UnderLOST$30
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 · Karen KhachanovLOST$25
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 · UnderLOST$0
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5 · OverLOST$0
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.5 · UnderLOST$0
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.5 · UnderLOST$0
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 10.5 · UnderLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-2510-2610-27
Carlos AlcarazErste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 · Carlos AlcarazErste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 21.5 · OverErste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner · Carlos Alcaraz
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 80% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Karen Khachanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz" resolve?
It resolved Carlos Alcaraz around November 3, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 79.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$770K across 16 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.