Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Carlos Alcaraz at 72.5%, ahead of Taylor Fritz at 27.5%. $11K traded across 10 markets.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Markets for this game
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Taylor Fritz” if Taylor Fritz wins set 2. It will resolve to “Carlos Alcaraz” if Carlos Alcaraz wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Carlos Alcaraz is the favorite at 72.5%, followed by Carlos Alcaraz at 72.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 13, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $11K in total and $11K in the last 24 hours, with about $107K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.