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Home / Markets / Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
Live market data

Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Carlos Alcaraz at 72.5%, ahead of Taylor Fritz at 27.5%. $11K traded across 10 markets.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

72.5%
Carlos Alcaraz · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$11K
24h $11K · liquidity $107K

Closes

November 13, 2026
8 days left

TennisSportsGames

Markets for this game

MarketSide ASide BVolume
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
moneyline
Taylor Fritz 27.5%Carlos Alcaraz 72.5%$11K
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5
tennis set handicap
Carlos Alcaraz 47.0%Taylor Fritz 53.0%$41
Completed Match
tennis completed match
Yes 55.0%No 45.0%$0
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 Winner
tennis first set winner
Taylor Fritz 34.0%Carlos Alcaraz 66.0%$0
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner
tennis set winner
Taylor Fritz 26.0%Carlos Alcaraz 74.0%$0
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 2.5
tennis set totals
Over 2.5 39.0%Under 2.5 61.0%$0
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 21.5
tennis match totals
Over 65.0%Under 35.0%$0
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 22.5
tennis match totals
Over 53.5%Under 46.5%$0
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 23.5
tennis match totals
Over 45.5%Under 54.5%$0
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-3.5
tennis game handicap
Carlos Alcaraz 46.0%Taylor Fritz 54.0%$0

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%11-0611-0611-06
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner · Carlos AlcarazCarlos AlcarazRolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 Winner · Carlos AlcarazRolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 21.5 · Over

Market rules and resolution

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Taylor Fritz” if Taylor Fritz wins set 2. It will resolve to “Carlos Alcaraz” if Carlos Alcaraz wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Carlos Alcaraz at 73% risks 73¢ to win 28¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz"?
As of November 6, 2026, Carlos Alcaraz is the favorite at 72.5%, followed by Carlos Alcaraz at 72.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on November 13, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$11K in total and $11K in the last 24 hours, with about $107K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.