Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu in 2024?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.9%; a week before, 97.2%. $48K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Bird FluH5N1Sciencevirushealth
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
On December 18, 2024, Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency in California over the H5N1 bird flu outbreak. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/osint613/status/1869497993977823355 This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of emergency directly related to an outbreak of H5N1 is declared in any state other than California by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be announcements from the relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu in 2024?" resolve?
- It resolved No around December 31, 2024.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.9% one day before close, 97.2% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $48K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
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