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Resolved market scorecard

F1 Drivers' Champion: result and scorecard

Resolved Kimi Antonelli. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.9%; a week before, 99.6%. $205.8M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Kimi Antonelli
resolved November 5, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.6%
30 days before: 96.5%

Volume

$205.8M
32 outcomes

SportsFormula 1f1

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Kimi AntonelliWON$5.9M
Oliver BearmanLOST$12.9M
Franco ColapintoLOST$12.2M
Valtteri BottasLOST$12.2M
Arvid LindbladLOST$12.0M
Alexander AlbonLOST$11.9M
Sergio PérezLOST$11.8M
Lance StrollLOST$11.7M
Pierre GaslyLOST$11.5M
Carlos Sainz Jr.LOST$11.1M
Gabriel BortoletoLOST$10.9M
Liam LawsonLOST$10.7M
Esteban OconLOST$9.5M
Isack HadjarLOST$9.4M
Fernando AlonsoLOST$9.1M
Nico HülkenbergLOST$8.5M
Lando NorrisLOST$7.0M
Max VerstappenLOST$6.6M
Oscar PiastriLOST$6.5M
Lewis HamiltonLOST$5.7M
Charles LeclercLOST$5.5M
George RussellLOST$3.1M
OtherLOST$0
Driver ALOST$0
Driver BLOST$0
Driver CLOST$0
Driver DLOST$0
Driver ELOST$0
Driver FLOST$0
Driver GLOST$0
Driver HLOST$0
Driver ILOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%12-0905-2311-05
Kimi AntonelliOliver BearmanFranco ColapintoValtteri Bottas
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Frequently asked questions

How did "F1 Drivers' Champion" resolve?
It resolved Kimi Antonelli around April 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.9% one day before close, 99.6% one week before and 96.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$205.8M across 32 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.