100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.7%; a week before, 93.2%. $195K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 100 or more confirmed cases of H5 Bird Flu in humans in the territory of the United States of America during the 2024 outbreak according to the CDC case counter by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC H5 Bird Flu counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/bird-flu/situation-summary/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC H5 Bird Flu counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025?" resolve?
- It resolved No around December 31, 2024.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.7% one day before close, 93.2% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $195K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.