How did "World Cup: Will Argentina Play Portugal?" resolve?

It resolved No around July 19, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 93.4% one day before close, 95.5% one week before and – one month before.

BetG8Get the brief

LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →

Home / Markets / World Cup: Will Argentina Play Portugal?

Resolved market scorecard

World Cup: Will Argentina Play Portugal?: result and scorecard

Name: World Cup: Will Argentina Play Portugal? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 93.4%; a week before, 95.5%. $78K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved July 6, 2026

Price 1 day before

93.4%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

95.5%

30 days before: –

Volume

$78K

1 outcome

messi Soccer Sports Ronaldo world cup

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$78K
No	WON	$78K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 93% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Argentina National Team takes the field to play the Portugal National Team at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the match is scheduled and later cancelled, without a make-up date, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the matchup cannot be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.

Frequently asked questions

How did "World Cup: Will Argentina Play Portugal?" resolve?: It resolved No around July 19, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 93.4% one day before close, 95.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $78K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

All live markets Markets resolving this week Prediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.