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Home / Markets / World Cup: Player to make Germany Squad
Resolved market scorecard

World Cup: Player to make Germany Squad: result and scorecard

Resolved Kai Havertz. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 95.5%; a week before, 90.0%. $23K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Kai Havertz
resolved May 21, 2026

Price 1 day before

95.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

90.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$23K
35 outcomes

2026 FIFA World CupGermanySoccerSportsFIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Kai HavertzWON$603
Nathaniel BrownWON$434
Lennart KarlWON$410
Jonathan TahWON$370
David RaumWON$364
Joshua KimmichWON$352
Angelo StillerWON$351
Jamal MusialaWON$345
Aleksandar PavlovicWON$335
Felix NmechaWON$319
Nico SchlotterbeckWON$309
Leon GoretzkaWON$295
Malick ThiawWON$285
Florian WirtzWON$272
Maximilian BeierWON$235
Antonio RüdigerWON$225
Leroy SanéWON$213
Deniz UndavWON$202
Nick WoltemadeWON$184
Oliver BaumannWON$175
Waldemar AntonWON$111
Alexander NübelWON$110
Pascal GroßWON$110
Jamie LewelingWON$90
Niclas FüllkrugLOST$11K
Serge GnabryLOST$2K
Kevin SchadeLOST$966
Karim AdeyemiLOST$470
Maximilian MittelstädtLOST$375
Robert AndrichLOST$281
Josha VagnomanLOST$279
Finn DahmenLOST$172
Anton StachLOST$149
Jonas UrbigLOST$120
Chris FührichLOST$111

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-2805-0905-21
Kai HavertzNathaniel BrownLennart KarlJonathan Tah
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 96% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "World Cup: Player to make Germany Squad" resolve?
It resolved Kai Havertz around June 2, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 95.5% one day before close, 90.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$23K across 35 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.