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Home / Markets / World Cup: Number of Missed Penalties
Resolved market scorecard

World Cup: Number of Missed Penalties: result and scorecard

Resolved 5+ missed penalties. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 60.3%; a week before, 24.3%. $1.6M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

5+ missed penalties
resolved July 7, 2026

Price 1 day before

60.3%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

24.3%
30 days before: –

Volume

$1.6M
10 outcomes

SoccerSportsworld cupFIFA World CupTournament Futures

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
5+ missed penaltiesWON$71K
30+ missed penaltiesLOST$557K
20+ missed penaltiesLOST$339K
10+ missed penaltiesLOST$261K
40+ missed penaltiesLOST$216K
15+ missed penaltiesLOST$124K
25+ missed penaltiesLOST$55K
50+ missed penaltiesLOST$8K
35+ missed penaltiesLOST$7K
45+ missed penaltiesLOST$7K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-1207-0107-20
5+ missed penalties30+ missed penalties20+ missed penalties10+ missed penalties
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 60% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of penalty kicks that are missed or saved during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "World Cup: Number of Missed Penalties" resolve?
It resolved 5+ missed penalties around July 20, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 60.3% one day before close, 24.3% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$1.6M across 10 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.