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Home / Markets / World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout
Resolved market scorecard

World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout: result and scorecard

Resolved 4+ matches. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 65.2%; a week before, 95.0%. $545K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

4+ matches
resolved July 8, 2026

Price 1 day before

65.2%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

95.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$545K
9 outcomes

SoccerSportsworld cupFIFA World CupTournament Futures

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
4+ matchesWON$48K
2+ matchesWON$39K
3+ matchesWON$21K
1+ matchesWON$5K
8+ matchesLOST$145K
7+ matchesLOST$95K
5+ matchesLOST$73K
9+ matchesLOST$62K
6+ matchesLOST$57K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-1206-2507-08
4+ matches2+ matches3+ matches1+ matches
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 65% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout" resolve?
It resolved 4+ matches around July 20, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 65.2% one day before close, 95.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$545K across 9 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.