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Home / Markets / World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?
Resolved market scorecard

World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 16.0%; a week before, 24.0%. $36K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes
resolved June 28, 2026

Price 1 day before

16.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

24.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$36K
1 outcome

SoccerSportsworld cupFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesWON$36K
NoLOST$36K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-0806-1806-28
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 16% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Lionel Messi by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Messi. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did " World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?" resolve?
It resolved Yes around July 20, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 16.0% one day before close, 24.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$36K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.