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Home / Markets / World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Resolved market scorecard

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner: result and scorecard

Resolved Kylian Mbappe. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 93.5%; a week before, 56.5%. $76.7M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Kylian Mbappe
resolved July 20, 2026

Price 1 day before

93.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

56.5%
30 days before: 23.5%

Volume

$76.7M
80 outcomes

2026 FIFA World CupSoccerFIFA World CupSportsWorld Cup Awards

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Kylian MbappeWON$8.3M
Lionel MessiLOST$11.2M
Mikel OyarzabalLOST$5.7M
Harry KaneLOST$4.2M
Ousmane DembeleLOST$4.1M
Jude BellinghamLOST$3.6M
Cristiano RonaldoLOST$3.4M
Erling HaalandLOST$2.9M
Michael OliseLOST$2.6M
Lamine YamalLOST$2.6M
Cody GakpoLOST$2.1M
Romelu LukakuLOST$1.7M
Igor ThiagoLOST$1.6M
Vinicius JuniorLOST$1.6M
Bukayo SakaLOST$1.6M
Federico ValverdeLOST$1.5M
Bradley BarcolaLOST$1.2M
Rafael LeaoLOST$842K
Deniz UndavLOST$818K
Folarin BalogunLOST$818K
Julian AlvarezLOST$798K
Desire DoueLOST$723K
Donyell MalenLOST$720K
EndrickLOST$694K
Amad DialloLOST$677K
Kai HavertzLOST$674K
Ferran TorresLOST$646K
Lautaro MartinezLOST$630K
Luis Javier SuárezLOST$610K
PedriLOST$572K
Luis DiazLOST$513K
Antoine SemenyoLOST$498K
Mohamed SalahLOST$494K
Florian WirtzLOST$484K
Dani OlmoLOST$458K
Bruno FernandesLOST$440K
Viktor GyökeresLOST$428K
RaphinhaLOST$404K
Depay MemphisLOST$400K
Noah OkaforLOST$374K
Memphis DepayLOST$344K
Heung-Min SonLOST$324K
Edin DžekoLOST$302K
Sadio ManeLOST$301K
Scott McTominayLOST$293K
Ivan PerišićLOST$279K
RodrygoLOST$276K
Andrej KramarićLOST$264K
Marcus ThuramLOST$220K
Serge GnabryLOST$213K
Dion BeljoLOST$155K
Tim PayneLOST$43K
Player ILOST$0
Player JLOST$0
Player KLOST$0
Player LLOST$0
Player MLOST$0
Player NLOST$0
Player OLOST$0
Player PLOST$0
Player QLOST$0
Player RLOST$0
Player SLOST$0
Player TLOST$0
Player ULOST$0
Player VLOST$0
Player WLOST$0
Player XLOST$0
Player YLOST$0
Player ZLOST$0
Player AALOST$0
Player ABLOST$0
Player ACLOST$0
Player ADLOST$0
Player AELOST$0
Player AFLOST$0
Player AGLOST$0
Player AHLOST$0
Player AILOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-2506-0707-20
Kylian MbappeLionel MessiMikel OyarzabalHarry Kane
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 94% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" resolve?
It resolved Kylian Mbappe around July 20, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 93.5% one day before close, 56.5% one week before and 23.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$76.7M across 80 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.