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Home / Markets / World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
Resolved market scorecard

World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo: result and scorecard

Resolved Messi. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 97.9%; a week before, 97.1%. $205K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Messi
resolved July 6, 2026

Price 1 day before

97.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

97.1%
30 days before: 58.5%

Volume

$205K
1 outcome

messiSoccerSportsRonaldoworld cup

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
MessiWON$205K
RonaldoLOST$205K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-0506-2007-06
MessiRonaldo
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 98% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Messi” if Lionel Messi scores more goals than Cristiano Ronaldo through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Ronaldo”. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more assists during all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose team advances to the furthest round of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.

Frequently asked questions

How did "World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo" resolve?
It resolved Messi around July 20, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 97.9% one day before close, 97.1% one week before and 58.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$205K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.