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Home / Markets / Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?
Resolved market scorecard

Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 27.0%; a week before, –. $71K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes
resolved October 8, 2026

Price 1 day before

27.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$71K
1 outcome

SoccerSportsArgentinaLionel MessiFifa Friendly

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesWON$71K
NoLOST$71K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-0710-08
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 27% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Lionel Messi is scheduled to play his final match for the Argentina men's national team against Benin on October 6, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cristiano Ronaldo posts about Lionel Messi from his X account (@Cristiano) or his Instagram account (@cristiano) between October 6, 2026, 7:00 PM ET and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A post is about Lionel Messi if it names Messi, tags his account, or includes an image or video in which Messi is clearly identifiable. Main feed posts, quote posts, reply posts, Instagram comments and Instagram Stories published by the listed accounts count toward a "Yes" resolution. Reposts and shares of another account's post without added text, likes, and posts made by Ronaldo's representatives, sponsors or any other account do not count. Posts made during a period in which an account is verifiably compromised, as confirmed by Cristiano Ronaldo or the platform, do not qualify. A qualifying post that is later deleted still counts, provided it was captured by screenshots or credible reporting while live. This market resolves on the posting window above regardless of whether the match is played as scheduled. The resolution sources for this market will be Cristiano Ronaldo's verified X account (https://x.com/Cristiano) and his verified Instagram account (https://www.instagram.com/cristiano/). Only the listed accounts count for this market; posts from any other account have no bearing on the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?" resolve?
It resolved Yes around October 8, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 27.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$71K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.