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Home / Markets / Will Messi, Ronaldo or Neymar Advance Furthest in the World
Resolved market scorecard

Will Messi, Ronaldo or Neymar Advance Furthest in the World Cup?: result and scorecard

Resolved Lionel Messi. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 81.5%; a week before, 69.5%. $87K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Lionel Messi
resolved July 7, 2026

Price 1 day before

81.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

69.5%
30 days before: 40.5%

Volume

$87K
4 outcomes

messiSoccerSportsneymarRonaldo

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Lionel MessiWON$40K
Cristiano RonaldoLOST$25K
Neymar Jr.LOST$23K
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-0406-2007-07
Lionel MessiCristiano RonaldoNeymar Jr.
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 82% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the participating player whose nation advances to the latest stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If multiple players' nations are tied for the furthest stage reached in the tournament, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose nation won the most total games during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who recorded the most goal contributions during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who received fewer total disciplinary cards during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (each card counts as a singular event, double yellows resulting in red still count as two cards). If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player’s nation to be the furthest to advance in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which player’s nation advanced the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Messi, Ronaldo or Neymar Advance Furthest in the World Cup?" resolve?
It resolved Lionel Messi around July 20, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 81.5% one day before close, 69.5% one week before and 40.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$87K across 4 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.