LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Will Messi get a guard of honour?
Resolved market scorecard

Will Messi get a guard of honour?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 71.0%; a week before, –. $99 traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes
resolved October 7, 2026

Price 1 day before

71.0%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$99
1 outcome

SoccerSportsArgentinaLionel MessiFifa Friendly

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesWON$99
NoLOST$99

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-0610-07
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 71% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Lionel Messi is scheduled to play his final match for the Argentina men's national team against Benin at the Estadio Monumental in Buenos Aires on October 6, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi receives a guard of honour on the playing surface at any point from the start of the pre-match ceremonies through the end of the post-match ceremonies at this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A guard of honour (also known as a pasillo) means two facing lines of people formed on the playing surface through which Messi walks or runs while being applauded. The lines may be formed by Argentina players, Benin players, coaching staff, former players, match officials, ball kids or any combination of them. The playing surface means the pitch and its surrounding area inside the perimeter advertising boards, including the technical areas. A single line, a huddle, players surrounding Messi, or applause without a corridor formation does not count. If the match is cancelled or postponed beyond October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed to a date on or before October 20, 2026, this market will resolve based on the rescheduled match. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Messi get a guard of honour?" resolve?
It resolved Yes around October 7, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 71.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$99 across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.