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Home / Markets / Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?
Resolved market scorecard

Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.7%; a week before, 99.7%. $227K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:32 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved July 20, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.7%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.7%
30 days before: 77.0%

Volume

$227K
1 outcome

SoccerSportsRonaldoLionel MessiFIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$227K
NoWON$227K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-1106-3007-20
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?" resolve?
It resolved No around July 20, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.7% one day before close, 99.7% one week before and 77.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$227K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.