What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 96.5% one day before close, 84.0% one week before and – one month before.

LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →

Home / Markets / Will Max Verstappen win every remaining Grand Prix in 2023?

Resolved market scorecard

Will Max Verstappen win every remaining Grand Prix in 2023?: result and scorecard

Name: Will Max Verstappen win every remaining Grand Prix in 2023? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 96.5%; a week before, 84.0%. $144 traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved September 17, 2023

Price 1 day before

96.5%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

84.0%

30 days before: –

Volume

$144

1 outcome

All

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$144
No	WON	$144

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 97% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

If Max Verstappen finishes every F1 grand prix held in the 2023 season after Netherlands (Aug 27) in first position, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any cancelled races will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market considers all races actually run for the remainder of the 2023 F1 season. If Max Verstappen misses a race for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from F1 (ex: https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2023.html), however live footage and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Max Verstappen win every remaining Grand Prix in 2023?" resolve?: It resolved No around November 26, 2023.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 96.5% one day before close, 84.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $144 across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?All live markets Markets resolving this week Prediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.