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Home / Markets / Will Lamine Yamal leave Barcelona before 2028?
Live market data

Will Lamine Yamal leave Barcelona before 2028?: live odds and probabilities

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 49.5% (+9.0 pts in 24h). $100 has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

49.5%
No 50.5% · Trade →

24h move

+9.0
pts · 7d +9.0

Volume

$100
24h $0 · liquidity $3

Closes

January 1, 2028
421 days left

SoccerSportsHide From New

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Yes49.5% +9.0+9.0$10095.0¢
No50.5% -9.0-9.0$100–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%09-1010-0811-06
Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion. A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count. An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier. If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 50% risks 50¢ to win 51¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will Lamine Yamal leave Barcelona before 2028?
As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 49.5% and No at 50.5%, on $100 of total volume.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$100 in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $3 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.