Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?: live odds and probabilities
Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 2.8% (+0.7 pts in 24h). $319K has traded on this market.
Yes probability
24h move
Volume
Closes
SolanaCrypto PricesCryptohyperliquidhype
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.8% | +0.7 |
| No | 97.3% | -0.7 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds that Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
- As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 2.8% and No at 97.3%, on $319K of total volume.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $319K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $31K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.